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将新的儿童疫苗纳入中国国家免疫规划:证据、效益和优先事项。

Adding new childhood vaccines to China's National Immunization Program: evidence, benefits, and priorities.

机构信息

Department of Health Policy and Management, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China; International Vaccine Access Center, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA; Department of Immunization, Vaccines and Biologicals, WHO, Geneva, Switzerland.

Department of Health Policy and Management, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China; Health Economics Research Centre, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

出版信息

Lancet Public Health. 2023 Dec;8(12):e1016-e1024. doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(23)00248-7.

Abstract

China's National Immunization Program has made remarkable achievements but does not include several important childhood vaccines that are readily available in the private market, such as pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV), rotavirus vaccine, Haemophilus influenzae serotype b (Hib) vaccine, and varicella vaccine. We reviewed the literature to assess these four non-National Immunization Program vaccines in terms of their disease burdens, coverage, inequalities, and cost-effectiveness in China and aimed to recommend priorities for introducing them to the National Immunization Program. Based on our calculations using the available evidence, incorporating these vaccines into China's National Immunization Program in 2019 could have averted 11 761 deaths among children younger than 5 years, accounting for 10·29% of the total deaths in children younger than 5 years and reducing the mortality rate from 7·8 per 1000 to 7·0 per 1000. The review showed that 13-valent PCV (PCV13) had the lowest and most inequitable coverage but could prevent the highest number of deaths. In a budgetary analysis for the cohort of newborns in 2023, we estimated that the projected aggregate government costs were US$1954·92 million for PCV13, $1273·13 million for pentavalent rotavirus vaccine, $415·30 million for Hib vaccine, and $221·64 million for varicella vaccine. Our overall multicriteria decision analysis suggested the following priority order for introducing these four non-programme vaccines to the National Immunization Program to benefit the Chinese population: PCV13, rotavirus vaccine, Hib vaccine, and varicella vaccine.

摘要

中国的国家免疫规划取得了显著成就,但并未包括几种可在私人市场获得的重要儿童疫苗,如肺炎球菌结合疫苗(PCV)、轮状病毒疫苗、b 型流感嗜血杆菌疫苗(Hib 疫苗)和水痘疫苗。我们回顾了文献,评估了这四种非国家免疫规划疫苗在中国的疾病负担、覆盖率、不平等和成本效益,并旨在为将其纳入国家免疫规划推荐优先顺序。根据我们使用现有证据进行的计算,如果在 2019 年将这些疫苗纳入中国的国家免疫规划,可能会避免 11761 名 5 岁以下儿童死亡,占 5 岁以下儿童总死亡人数的 10.29%,并将死亡率从每 1000 人 7.8 人降至每 1000 人 7.0 人。该综述表明,13 价肺炎球菌结合疫苗(PCV13)的覆盖率最低且最不平等,但可预防的死亡人数最多。在 2023 年新生儿队列的预算分析中,我们估计 PCV13 的预计政府总费用为 1.95492 亿美元,五价轮状病毒疫苗为 1.27313 亿美元,Hib 疫苗为 4.1530 亿美元,水痘疫苗为 2.2164 亿美元。我们的整体多准则决策分析建议,将这四种非规划疫苗纳入国家免疫规划的优先顺序为:PCV13、轮状病毒疫苗、Hib 疫苗和水痘疫苗,以造福中国人民。

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