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伊朗中部致命道路交通伤害死亡率的11年趋势;一项横断面研究。

11-Year Trend of Mortality from Fatal Road Traffic Injuries in The Center of Iran; a Cross-sectional Study.

作者信息

Mollaei Pardeh Maziyar, Yarmohammadian Mohammad Hosain, Atighecian Golrokh, Ebrahimi Afshin, Maracy Mohamad Reza

机构信息

Department of Health in Emergencies, Health Management and Economic Research Center, School of Management and Medical Information, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran.

Department of Environmental Health Engineering, School of Health, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran.

出版信息

Arch Acad Emerg Med. 2024 Feb 15;12(1):e27. doi: 10.22037/aaem.v12i1.2205. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Road traffic injuries (RTIs) are one of the major health problems in developed and developing countries. In Iran, RTIs are the first leading cause of years of life lost (YLL). So, the present study investigated the 11-year trend of RTI- related mortalities in Iran.

METHODS

This study was a population-based cross-sectional study. All-cause deaths as well as RTI-related mortalities' data were collected from the Civil Registration Organization (CRO) and Legal medical organization (LMO) of Isfahan during 2011-2021. The mid-year population, number of deaths due to RTIs, the crude and age-standardized mortality (per 100,000) of RTIs, and the percentage of proportional mortality by sex and year of accident during the study period were calculated and reported. Also, trend analysis was done using join point regression program.

RESULTS

During the study period, 11,248 deaths occurred due to RTIs in Isfahan province. 8,894 cases were male (79.03%), the highest number of deaths in both male and female cases was reported in those aged 15-39 years. Among the males, trend of standardized mortality in 2011-2015 was decreasing (annual percentage changes = -6.76(CI 95%: -2.53, -15.03)), while in 2015-2021 it was increasing (annual percentage changes = 3.00 (CI 95%: 0.63, 9.87)). However, no significant trend was observed among females.

CONCLUSION

The findings of the present study showed that the number and standardized mortality rate of RTIs decreased during the 11-year period. It seems that applying stricter policies, improving the quality of the roads of the province, improving the quality of cars, and increasing the number of hospital and pre-hospital medical facilities can play an effective role in reducing RTIs.

摘要

引言

道路交通事故伤害(RTIs)是发达国家和发展中国家主要的健康问题之一。在伊朗,道路交通事故伤害是寿命损失年数(YLL)的首要原因。因此,本研究调查了伊朗11年期间与道路交通事故伤害相关的死亡率趋势。

方法

本研究是一项基于人群的横断面研究。2011年至2021年期间,从伊斯法罕的民事登记组织(CRO)和法定医学组织(LMO)收集了全死因死亡数据以及与道路交通事故伤害相关的死亡率数据。计算并报告了年中人口、道路交通事故伤害导致的死亡人数、道路交通事故伤害的粗死亡率和年龄标准化死亡率(每10万人),以及研究期间按性别和事故年份划分的比例死亡率百分比。此外,使用连接点回归程序进行了趋势分析。

结果

在研究期间,伊斯法罕省有11248人死于道路交通事故伤害。8894例为男性(79.03%),15至39岁年龄段的男性和女性死亡人数最多。在男性中,2011年至2015年标准化死亡率呈下降趋势(年度百分比变化=-6.76(95%置信区间:-2.53,-15.03)),而2015年至2021年呈上升趋势(年度百分比变化=3.00(95%置信区间:0.63,9.87))。然而,女性中未观察到显著趋势。

结论

本研究结果表明,在11年期间,道路交通事故伤害的数量和标准化死亡率有所下降。看来实施更严格的政策、改善该省道路质量、提高汽车质量以及增加医院和院前医疗设施数量可以在减少道路交通事故伤害方面发挥有效作用。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a2ea/10988176/815b0ac8d662/aaem-12-e27-g001.jpg

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