Yi Zinan, Owusu-Edusei Kwame, Elbasha Elamin
Biostatistics & Research Decision Sciences, Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, USA.
Infect Dis Ther. 2024 Dec;13(12):2597-2615. doi: 10.1007/s40121-024-01067-1. Epub 2024 Nov 8.
Given the recent approval and recommendation of V116, a 21-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV), in the United States (US), we evaluated the cost-effectiveness of using V116 versus the 20-valent PCV (PCV20) or the 15-valent PCV (PCV15) in series with the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) among adults aged ≥ 65 years in the US who had never received a PCV previously.
A static multi-cohort state-transition Markov model was developed to estimate the lifetime incremental clinical and economic impact of V116 vs. PCV20 or PCV15 + PPSV23 from the societal perspective. All model inputs were based on published literature and publicly available databases and/or reports. Model outcomes included undiscounted clinical cases: invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), inpatient and outpatient non-bacteremic pneumococcal pneumonia (NBPP), post-meningitis sequelae (PMS), deaths from IPD and inpatient NBPP, discounted quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) as well as the discounted total cost (in 2023 USD), which consisted of vaccine acquisition and administration costs, direct and indirect costs associated with the disease, and travel costs for vaccination. The final summary measure was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), reported as $/QALY gained. Three percent was used for the annual discounting rate.
Based on the inputs and assumptions used, the results indicated that the V116 strategy prevented 27,766 and 32,387 disease cases/deaths and saved $239 million and $1.8 billion in total costs when compared to the PCV20 and PCV15 + PPSV23 strategies, respectively, in vaccine-naïve adults aged ≥ 65 years. The estimated ICERs were cost saving in both regimens (i.e., V116 vs. PCV20 or vs. PCV15 + PPSV23). The scenario analysis and deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses also demonstrated the robustness of the qualitative results.
These results demonstrated that using V116 in adults aged ≥ 65 years in the US can prevent a substantial number of PD cases and deaths while remaining highly favorable economically over a wide range of inputs and scenarios.
鉴于21价肺炎球菌结合疫苗(PCV)V116最近在美国获得批准并得到推荐,我们评估了在美国≥65岁且之前从未接种过肺炎球菌结合疫苗的成年人中,使用V116与20价肺炎球菌结合疫苗(PCV20)或15价肺炎球菌结合疫苗(PCV15)序贯23价肺炎球菌多糖疫苗(PPSV23)相比的成本效益。
建立了一个静态多队列状态转换马尔可夫模型,从社会角度估计V116与PCV20或PCV15+PPSV23相比的终身增量临床和经济影响。所有模型输入均基于已发表的文献以及公开可用的数据库和/或报告。模型结果包括未贴现的临床病例:侵袭性肺炎球菌疾病(IPD)、住院和门诊非菌血症性肺炎球菌肺炎(NBPP)、脑膜炎后遗症(PMS)、IPD和住院NBPP导致的死亡、贴现质量调整生命年(QALY)以及贴现总成本(以2023年美元计),总成本包括疫苗采购和接种成本、与疾病相关的直接和间接成本以及疫苗接种的交通成本。最终的汇总指标是增量成本效益比(ICER),以获得的每QALY美元数表示。年贴现率采用3%。
根据所使用的输入和假设,结果表明,在≥65岁未接种过疫苗的成年人中,与PCV20和PCV15+PPSV23策略相比,V116策略分别预防了27766例和32387例疾病病例/死亡,并节省了2.39亿美元和18亿美元的总成本。两种方案(即V116与PCV20或与PCV15+PPSV23相比)的估计ICER均显示成本节约。情景分析以及确定性和概率敏感性分析也证明了定性结果的稳健性。
这些结果表明,在美国≥65岁的成年人中使用V116可以预防大量肺炎球菌疾病病例和死亡,同时在广泛的输入和情景范围内在经济上仍然非常有利。