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利用地理空间技术在埃塞俄比亚梅盖查流域识别潜在的水力发电站址

Identification of potential hydropower generation sites using geospatial techniques in the Megecha watershed of Ethiopia.

作者信息

Anore Habtamu Wimego, Lohani Tarun Kumar, Ayalew Abebe Temesgen

机构信息

Faculty of Hydraulic and Water Resources Engineering, Water Technology Institute, Arba Minch University, P.O. Box 21, Arba Minch, Ethiopia.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2025 Jan 21;11(2):e42063. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2025.e42063. eCollection 2025 Jan 30.

Abstract

The research focuses on modelling the surface water potential using Arc SWAT and Multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) for selecting the potential hydropower sites in the Megecha watershed. The tenure for stream flow and meteorological data used for SWAT model simulation is from 1990 to 2019 and 1988-2019 respectively. Geospatial method is used to generate gross head and respective potential hydropower. Multi criteria decision method is adopted to select the best site for hydropower generation. Curve number (CN2), saturated hydraulic conductivity (SOL_K), moist bulk density (SOL_BD), and available moisture in the soil layer (SOL_AWC) were among the most sensitive parameters assessed during the research. The performance of SWAT model obtained for R, NSE and PBIAS were 0.84, 0.78 and -4.6 and 0.81, 0.72 and -4.8 in percentages during calibration and validation periods, respectively. Based on the flow duration curve, the minimum flow of the river for the percent of exceedance of 90 % (Q) for the sites 1, 2, and 3 are 0.37 m/s, 0.45 m/s, and 0.48 m/s, respectively. The available heads and corresponding hydropower potential on the identified sites were 15, 25, and 20 m and 54.45 KW, 110.36 KW, and 94.18 KW at site1, 2, and 3, respectively. From the GIS based MCDM analysis, the best alternative site for hydropower generation is at site 2, in comparison to identified sites. The total watershed area was 1176 km of which, 308.65 million m of runoff was generated by the model annually. The watershed has high surface water potential, and the rivers have enough surface water that may be used for hydropower development.

摘要

该研究聚焦于利用Arc SWAT和多准则决策(MCDM)对地表水潜力进行建模,以在梅盖查流域选择潜在的水电站点。用于SWAT模型模拟的径流和气象数据的期限分别为1990年至2019年以及1988年至2019年。采用地理空间方法来生成总水头和相应的潜在水电量。采用多准则决策方法来选择最佳的水电发电站点。曲线数(CN2)、饱和导水率(SOL_K)、湿容重(SOL_BD)以及土壤层中的有效水分(SOL_AWC)是研究期间评估的最敏感参数。在校准和验证期,SWAT模型获得的R、NSE和PBIAS性能百分比分别为0.84、0.78和 -4.6以及0.81、0.72和 -4.8。基于流量历时曲线,1号、2号和3号站点超过90%(Q)的河流最小流量分别为0.37米/秒、0.45米/秒和0.48米/秒。在确定的站点上,1号、2号和3号站点的可用水头和相应的水电潜力分别为15米、25米和20米以及54.45千瓦、110.36千瓦和94.18千瓦。从基于GIS的MCDM分析来看,与已确定的站点相比,最佳的水电发电替代站点是2号站点。流域总面积为1176平方千米,该模型每年产生3.0865亿立方米的径流。该流域具有较高的地表水潜力,河流有足够的地表水可用于水电开发。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/732f/11795049/40aa13cdeb9f/gr1.jpg

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