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黑山共和国心血管疾病和呼吸系统疾病死亡率的区域差异与PM颗粒浓度的相关性

Regional Differentiation of Mortality from Cardiovascular and Respiratory Diseases in Correlation with Concentrations of PM Particles in Montenegro.

作者信息

Raicevic Djoko, Mikic Mirko, Mijanovic Ivan, Milentijevic Nikola

机构信息

Department of Geography, Tourism and Hotel Management, Faculty of Sciences, University of Novi Sad, Novi Sad, Serbia.

Department of Dentistry, Faculty of Medicine, University of Montenegro, Podgorica, Montenegro.

出版信息

Iran J Public Health. 2025 Apr;54(4):785-794. doi: 10.18502/ijph.v54i4.18416.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

We aimed to indicate whether the regional disparity in the general mortality rate from cardiovascular (CVDs) and chronic respiratory (CRDs) diseases correlates with the trends of the average annual values of PM particles in selected cities in Montenegro.

METHODS

We used descriptive statistics together with correlation tests. The paper deals with the regional distribution of mortality caused by CVDs and chronic respiratory (CRDs) diseases in Montenegro from 2011 to 2019, while the correlation of mortality in selected cities with PM particles covers the period from 2011 to 2019.

RESULTS

The selected cities from different regions of Montenegro, such as Pljevlja and Niksic, exhibited significant correlations between increased pollution concentrations and mortality from cardiovascular diseases. In Pljevlja, a strong correlation was found between PM concentrations and CVD mortality (r = 0.8), while in Niksic, the association between PM particles and CVD mortality in women was relatively strong (β=2.7). Similar, but weaker correlations were observed in Podgorica (r=0.5) and Bar (r=0.4). Regarding respiratory diseases, the correlations with PM particles were negative and weaker in all cities, with the lowest coefficients observed in Podgorica (r = -0.2) and Nikšić (r = -0.3), suggesting a lesser impact of pollution on mortality from respiratory diseases compared to cardiovascular diseases.

CONCLUSION

Mortality trends particularly for cardiovascular diseases, show a strong correlation with poor air quality in certain cities, especially Pljevlja and Niksic. Reducing pollutant emissions would significantly contribute to improving public health in Montenegro. Future research must include established measuring stations network for air quality analysis in Montenegro.

摘要

背景

我们旨在表明心血管疾病(CVDs)和慢性呼吸道疾病(CRDs)的总体死亡率的地区差异是否与黑山选定城市中PM颗粒年均值的趋势相关。

方法

我们使用了描述性统计和相关性检验。本文探讨了2011年至2019年黑山心血管疾病和慢性呼吸道疾病导致的死亡率的地区分布,而选定城市死亡率与PM颗粒的相关性涵盖2011年至2019年期间。

结果

黑山不同地区的选定城市,如普列夫利亚和尼克希奇,污染浓度增加与心血管疾病死亡率之间呈现出显著相关性。在普列夫利亚,发现PM浓度与心血管疾病死亡率之间存在强相关性(r = 0.8),而在尼克希奇,PM颗粒与女性心血管疾病死亡率之间的关联相对较强(β=2.7)。在波德戈里察(r=0.5)和巴尔(r=0.4)观察到类似但较弱的相关性。关于呼吸道疾病,所有城市中与PM颗粒的相关性均为负且较弱,在波德戈里察(r = -0.2)和尼克希奇(r = -0.3)观察到的系数最低,这表明与心血管疾病相比,污染对呼吸道疾病死亡率的影响较小。

结论

特别是心血管疾病的死亡率趋势与某些城市,尤其是普列夫利亚和尼克希奇的空气质量差密切相关。减少污染物排放将对改善黑山的公众健康做出重大贡献。未来的研究必须包括在黑山建立用于空气质量分析的测量站网络。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/93ed/12045873/3996462f5f96/IJPH-54-785-g001.jpg

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