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法医心理学中的统计报告实践:有什么变化吗?

Statistical reporting practices within forensic psychology: Is anything changing?

作者信息

Eastwood Joseph, Luther Kirk, Han Tianshuang, Arenzon Valerie, Crough Quintan, Curtis Ashley, de Almeida Hannah, Downer Kelsey Janet, Dion Larivière Cassandre, Lundy Jessica, Ogunseye Funmilola, Snow Mark D, Snook Brent

机构信息

Faculty of Social Science and Humanities, Ontario Tech University.

Department of Psychology, Carleton University.

出版信息

Law Hum Behav. 2025 Aug;49(4):398-409. doi: 10.1037/lhb0000611. Epub 2025 May 5.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

We examined the evolution of statistical reporting practices within forensic psychology across two decades (2000-2020) to assess their adherence to recommended best practices.

METHOD

We conducted a comprehensive analysis of articles published in six prominent forensic psychology journals, including every empirical article published in each journal in 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015, and 2020 ( = 813). We then evaluated the use and interpretation of null hypothesis significance testing (NHST), effect sizes (ESs), confidence intervals (CIs), and Bayesian statistics for each article in the sample.

RESULTS

We found a persistent reliance on NHST, with nearly all articles employing it for data analysis and interpretation. Encouragingly, the reporting of ESs and CIs has increased substantially; their interpretative use, however, remains limited. Bayesian methods were rarely used for analysis or interpretation of data.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings suggest a slow uptake of reforms advocated by statistical guidelines, with forensic psychology researchers continuing to prioritize NHST over recommended approaches. Although the increase in ES and CI reporting is encouraging, the continued reliance on NHST means that both the scientific literature and important applied decision making in the forensic psychology field are impacted by the shortcomings of this statistical reporting approach (e.g., simplistic dichotomous decisions, lack of reproducibility, potential for -hacking). We call for journals in the field to encourage further use of statistical best practices within their manuscripts. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).

摘要

目的

我们考察了二十年间(2000 - 2020年)法医心理学领域统计报告实践的演变,以评估其对推荐的最佳实践的遵循情况。

方法

我们对六种著名的法医心理学杂志上发表的文章进行了全面分析,包括2000年、2005年、2010年、2015年和2020年在每种杂志上发表的每篇实证文章( = 813篇)。然后,我们评估了样本中每篇文章对零假设显著性检验(NHST)、效应量(ESs)、置信区间(CIs)和贝叶斯统计的使用及解释情况。

结果

我们发现对NHST存在持续的依赖,几乎所有文章都将其用于数据分析和解释。令人鼓舞的是,效应量和置信区间的报告大幅增加;然而,它们在解释中的使用仍然有限。贝叶斯方法很少用于数据分析或解释。

结论

这些发现表明,统计指南所倡导的改革采用得较为缓慢,法医心理学研究人员继续将NHST置于推荐方法之上。尽管效应量和置信区间报告的增加令人鼓舞,但对NHST的持续依赖意味着法医心理学领域的科学文献和重要应用决策都受到这种统计报告方法缺点的影响(例如,简单的二分法决策、缺乏可重复性、p值操纵的可能性)。我们呼吁该领域的期刊鼓励在其稿件中进一步使用统计最佳实践。(PsycInfo数据库记录(c)2025美国心理学会,保留所有权利)

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