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可持续大规模检测的政策路线图。

A policy roadmap for sustainable mass-testing.

作者信息

Krylov Sergey N, Krylova Svetlana M, Le An T H, Moghadas Seyed M, Mawani Amin, Tabatabaei Nima, Papagelis Manos, Tsasis Peter, Wiktorowicz Mary E, Rosenbaum R Shayna

机构信息

Centre for Research on Biomolecular Interactions, York University, Toronto, Canada M3J 1P3.

Department of Chemistry, York University, Toronto, Canada M3J 1P3.

出版信息

Health Aff Sch. 2025 Jul 29;3(8):qxaf151. doi: 10.1093/haschl/qxaf151. eCollection 2025 Aug.

Abstract

Population-wide mass testing with affordable self-tests can drastically reduce lives lost and minimize economic and societal costs during pandemics, especially if deployed before vaccines. During COVID-19, however, the development of self-test manufacturing and distribution capacity lagged behind vaccine rollout and was dismantled once surges subsided, returning us to a prepandemic state. As no new capacity has since been secured, future mass-testing would again face costly delays. To mitigate this risk, we propose a policy roadmap for an economically viable mass-testing system that can be sustained between crises and rapidly scaled during emergencies. Public investment in R&D to improve the sensitivity of affordable self-tests-not to achieve a single benchmark, but to advance point-of-need technologies across medical and nonmedical applications-is essential. Improved sensitivity would enable new uses in routine health screening, food safety, and environmental monitoring, generating steady demand and production capacity that can expand as needed. This demand would support a robust system anchored by four mutually reinforcing pillars: scalable manufacturing, real-time data infrastructure, predictive analytics, and sustainable financing. Prioritizing sensitivity can transform mass testing from a reactive measure into a durable public health foundation.

摘要

使用价格亲民的自检进行全人群大规模检测,能够在大流行期间大幅减少死亡人数,并将经济和社会成本降至最低,尤其是在疫苗推出之前就部署检测的情况下。然而,在新冠疫情期间,自检产品的生产和配送能力发展滞后于疫苗接种,而且在疫情高峰过后就被搁置,使我们又回到了疫情前的状态。由于此后没有确保新的产能,未来的大规模检测将再次面临代价高昂的延误。为降低这种风险,我们提出了一个政策路线图,以建立一个经济上可行的大规模检测系统,该系统能够在危机期间维持运行,并在紧急情况下迅速扩大规模。对研发进行公共投资,以提高价格亲民的自检的灵敏度——不是为了达到某个单一标准,而是为了推动即时检测技术在医疗和非医疗应用中的发展——至关重要。灵敏度的提高将使自检在常规健康筛查、食品安全和环境监测中得到新的应用,从而产生稳定的需求和生产能力,并可根据需要进行扩展。这种需求将支持一个由四个相互强化的支柱构成的强大系统:可扩展的制造、实时数据基础设施、预测分析和可持续融资。将灵敏度作为优先事项,可以将大规模检测从一种应对措施转变为一个持久的公共卫生基础。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fd08/12352306/e9a641487217/qxaf151f1.jpg

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