Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Department of Biology, University of Alabama, Birmingham, AL, USA.
Science. 2018 Sep 28;361(6409). doi: 10.1126/science.aav1200.
Barbi (Reports, 29 June 2018, p. 1459) reported that human mortality rate reached a "plateau" after the age of 105, suggesting there may be no limit to human longevity. We show, using their data, that potential lifespans cannot increase much beyond the current 122 years unless future biomedical advances alter the intrinsic rate of human aging.
芭比(Reports, 29 June 2018, p. 1459)报道称,人类死亡率在 105 岁之后达到“平稳期”,这表明人类的寿命可能没有上限。我们利用他们的数据表明,除非未来的生物医学进步改变人类衰老的内在速度,否则人类的潜在寿命不可能在目前的 122 年基础上大幅延长。