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对新冠疫情对可持续发展目标的多维影响的初步定量评估。

Preliminary quantitative assessment of the multidimensional impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Sustainable Development Goals.

作者信息

Elsamadony Mohamed, Fujii Manabu, Ryo Masahiro, Nerini Francesco Fuso, Kakinuma Kaoru, Kanae Shinjiro

机构信息

Civil and Environmental Engineering Department, School of Environment and Society, Tokyo Institute of Technology, Meguro-Ku, Tokyo, 152-8552, Japan.

Department of Public Works Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Tanta University, 31521, Tanta City, Egypt.

出版信息

J Clean Prod. 2022 Oct 20;372:133812. doi: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.133812. Epub 2022 Aug 27.

Abstract

The intersectoral impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on humanity raises concerns about its implications for sustainable development. Here, we examine a global quantitative impact of COVID-19 pandemic on Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) across all 17 goals using 65 proxy indicators across 72 countries collected from April 2020 to February 2021. Our data-driven analysis indicated that adverse impacts of the pandemic have been particularly concerned on gender equality (Goal 5), affordable and clean energy (Goal 7), decent work and economic growth (Goal 8), sustainable cities and communities (Goal 11), and responsible consumption and production (Goal 12) with global scores estimated to be -0.38, -0.21, -0.28, -0.22 and -0.16, respectively. Country income level was a variable that strongly differentiates the responses to the pandemic (e.g., lower incomes had 14 negative goals compared to 11 and 4 negative goals assigned to middle- and high-income countries, respectively). However, Goals 5 and 8 were highly impacted worldwide regardless of income status. Furthermore, countries that had already higher performance in SDGs were less impacted by the pandemic, highlighting the importance of progress on the SDGs in increasing societal resilience to pandemics. The findings provide insights into the reinforcement of recovery policies (e.g., protecting vulnerable groups and transitioning to a green economy) and a basis for a quantitative discussion on the sectors to be prioritized.

摘要

新冠疫情对人类的跨部门影响引发了人们对其对可持续发展影响的担忧。在此,我们使用2020年4月至2021年2月期间从72个国家收集的65个替代指标,研究了新冠疫情对所有17个可持续发展目标(SDGs)的全球定量影响。我们的数据驱动分析表明,疫情的不利影响尤其集中在性别平等(目标5)、负担得起的清洁能源(目标7)、体面工作和经济增长(目标8)、可持续城市和社区(目标11)以及负责任的消费和生产(目标12)上,全球得分估计分别为-0.38、-0.21、-0.28、-0.22和-0.16。国家收入水平是一个强烈区分对疫情反应的变量(例如,低收入国家有14个负面目标,而中等收入和高收入国家分别有11个和4个负面目标)。然而,无论收入状况如何,目标5和目标8在全球范围内都受到了高度影响。此外,在可持续发展目标方面表现已经较高的国家受疫情影响较小,这凸显了在可持续发展目标上取得进展对于提高社会对疫情的抵御能力的重要性。这些发现为加强复苏政策(如保护弱势群体和向绿色经济转型)提供了见解,并为关于优先考虑的部门进行定量讨论提供了基础。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0173/9418703/29eb3211a7a8/ga1_lrg.jpg

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