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美国 0 至 19 岁儿童和青少年中 COVID-19 作为根本死因的评估。

Assessment of COVID-19 as the Underlying Cause of Death Among Children and Young People Aged 0 to 19 Years in the US.

机构信息

Department of Computer Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.

MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London, United Kingdom.

出版信息

JAMA Netw Open. 2023 Jan 3;6(1):e2253590. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.53590.

Abstract

IMPORTANCE

COVID-19 was the underlying cause of death for more than 940 000 individuals in the US, including at least 1289 children and young people (CYP) aged 0 to 19 years, with at least 821 CYP deaths occurring in the 1-year period from August 1, 2021, to July 31, 2022. Because deaths among US CYP are rare, the mortality burden of COVID-19 in CYP is best understood in the context of all other causes of CYP death.

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether COVID-19 is a leading (top 10) cause of death in CYP in the US.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This national population-level cross-sectional epidemiological analysis for the years 2019 to 2022 used data from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (WONDER) database on underlying cause of death in the US to identify the ranking of COVID-19 relative to other causes of death among individuals aged 0 to 19 years. COVID-19 deaths were considered in 12-month periods between April 1, 2020, and August 31, 2022, compared with deaths from leading non-COVID-19 causes in 2019, 2020, and 2021.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Cause of death rankings by total number of deaths, crude rates per 100 000 population, and percentage of all causes of death, using the National Center for Health Statistics 113 Selected Causes of Death, for ages 0 to 19 and by age groupings (<1 year, 1-4 years, 5-9 years, 10-14 years, 15-19 years).

RESULTS

There were 821 COVID-19 deaths among individuals aged 0 to 19 years during the study period, resulting in a crude death rate of 1.0 per 100 000 population overall; 4.3 per 100 000 for those younger than 1 year; 0.6 per 100 000 for those aged 1 to 4 years; 0.4 per 100 000 for those aged 5 to 9 years; 0.5 per 100 000 for those aged 10 to 14 years; and 1.8 per 100 000 for those aged 15 to 19 years. COVID-19 mortality in the time period of August 1, 2021, to July 31, 2022, was among the 10 leading causes of death in CYP aged 0 to 19 years in the US, ranking eighth among all causes of deaths, fifth in disease-related causes of deaths (excluding unintentional injuries, assault, and suicide), and first in deaths caused by infectious or respiratory diseases when compared with 2019. COVID-19 deaths constituted 2% of all causes of death in this age group.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

The findings of this study suggest that COVID-19 was a leading cause of death in CYP. It caused substantially more deaths in CYP annually than any vaccine-preventable disease historically in the recent period before vaccines became available. Various factors, including underreporting and not accounting for COVID-19's role as a contributing cause of death from other diseases, mean that these estimates may understate the true mortality burden of COVID-19. The findings of this study underscore the public health relevance of COVID-19 to CYP. In the likely future context of sustained SARS-CoV-2 circulation, appropriate pharmaceutical and nonpharmaceutical interventions (eg, vaccines, ventilation, air cleaning) will continue to play an important role in limiting transmission of the virus and mitigating severe disease in CYP.

摘要

重要性

COVID-19 是美国超过 94 万人死亡的根本原因,其中包括至少 1289 名年龄在 0 至 19 岁的儿童和青少年(CYP),至少有 821 名 CYP 死亡发生在 2021 年 8 月 1 日至 2022 年 7 月 31 日的 1 年期间。由于美国 CYP 的死亡人数很少,因此 COVID-19 在 CYP 中的死亡负担最好在所有其他 CYP 死亡原因的背景下理解。

目的

确定 COVID-19 是否是美国 CYP 死亡的主要(前 10 位)原因。

设计、设置和参与者:这项全国性的人口水平横断面流行病学分析使用了美国疾病控制与预防中心广域在线流行病学研究(WONDER)数据库中美国死因的底层数据,该分析针对 2019 年至 2022 年的数据,确定 COVID-19 相对于 0 至 19 岁人群中其他死因的排名。在 2020 年 4 月 1 日至 2022 年 8 月 31 日期间,将 COVID-19 死亡视为 12 个月的时间段,而 2019 年、2020 年和 2021 年的非 COVID-19 主要死亡原因则进行比较。

主要结果和措施

使用国家卫生统计中心 113 种选定死因,按总死亡人数、每 10 万人的粗死亡率和所有死因的百分比,对 0 至 19 岁年龄组和年龄分组(<1 岁、1-4 岁、5-9 岁、10-14 岁、15-19 岁)进行死因排名。

结果

在研究期间,有 821 名 0 至 19 岁的人死于 COVID-19,导致总体粗死亡率为每 10 万人 1.0;<1 岁的为 4.3;1-4 岁的为 0.6;5-9 岁的为 0.4;10-14 岁的为 0.5;15-19 岁的为 1.8。2021 年 8 月 1 日至 2022 年 7 月 31 日期间,COVID-19 死亡率是美国 0 至 19 岁 CYP 死亡的 10 大原因之一,在所有死亡原因中排名第八,在疾病相关死亡原因(不包括意外损伤、攻击和自杀)中排名第五,在传染性或呼吸道疾病死亡原因中排名第一,而与 2019 年相比,COVID-19 死亡原因占该年龄组所有死亡原因的 2%。

结论和相关性

这项研究的结果表明 COVID-19 是 CYP 死亡的主要原因。与最近疫苗可用之前的历史上任何疫苗可预防的疾病相比,它每年在 CYP 中造成的死亡人数都要多得多。各种因素,包括漏报和不考虑 COVID-19 作为其他疾病死亡的促成原因,意味着这些估计可能低估了 COVID-19 的实际死亡负担。这项研究的结果强调了 COVID-19 对 CYP 的公共卫生相关性。在 SARS-CoV-2 持续传播的未来情况下,适当的药物和非药物干预措施(如疫苗、通风、空气净化)将继续在限制病毒传播和减轻 CYP 严重疾病方面发挥重要作用。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/57cc/9887489/11e3059297d0/jamanetwopen-e2253590-g001.jpg

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