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运用嵌入式优化与进化博弈论方法理解疫苗接种和自我防护措施对疫情动态的影响。

Understanding the Impact of Vaccination and Self-Defense Measures on Epidemic Dynamics Using an Embedded Optimization and Evolutionary Game Theory Methodology.

作者信息

Kabir K M Ariful, Islam M D Shahidul, Sharif Ullah Mohammad

机构信息

Department of Mathematics, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh.

Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Green University of Bangladesh, Dhaka 1207, Bangladesh.

出版信息

Vaccines (Basel). 2023 Aug 25;11(9):1421. doi: 10.3390/vaccines11091421.

Abstract

Explaining how individual choice and government policy can appear in the same context in real society is one of the most challenging scientific problems. Controlling infectious diseases requires effective prevention and control measures, including vaccination and self-defense measures. In this context, optimal control strategies incorporating vaccination and self-defense measures have been proposed using the framework of evolutionary game theory. This approach accounts for individuals' behavior and interactions in a population. It can provide insights into the effectiveness of different strategies for controlling the spread of infectious diseases. The optimal control strategy involves balancing the costs and benefits of vaccination, considering the dynamic interplay between the infected and susceptible populations. By combining evolutionary game theory with optimal control theory, we can identify the optimal allocation of resources for vaccination and self-defense measures, which can maximize the control of infectious diseases while minimizing costs. The model is utilized to analyze public health policies diseases, such as vaccination and self-defense strategies, to mitigate the spread of infectious in the context of delayed decision-making.

摘要

解释个人选择和政府政策如何在现实社会的同一背景下出现是最具挑战性的科学问题之一。控制传染病需要有效的预防和控制措施,包括疫苗接种和自我防护措施。在此背景下,利用进化博弈论框架提出了包含疫苗接种和自我防护措施的最优控制策略。这种方法考虑了个体在群体中的行为和相互作用。它可以深入了解不同策略对控制传染病传播的有效性。最优控制策略涉及平衡疫苗接种的成本和收益,考虑感染人群和易感人群之间的动态相互作用。通过将进化博弈论与最优控制理论相结合,我们可以确定疫苗接种和自我防护措施的最优资源分配,这可以在最小化成本的同时最大化对传染病的控制。该模型用于分析公共卫生政策疾病,如疫苗接种和自我防护策略,以在延迟决策的背景下减轻传染病的传播。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/91d9/10536494/1496a46dce17/vaccines-11-01421-g001.jpg

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