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德国已通报及未被充分估计的空肠弯曲菌肠炎病例及其相关后遗症的疾病负担和经济负担。

The disease and economic burden of notified and underestimated Campylobacter enteritis cases and associated sequelae in Germany.

作者信息

Schorling Elisabeth, Lick Sonja, Rosner Bettina, Knorr Sebastian, Wilking Hendrik, Steinberg Pablo, Brüggemann Dagmar Adeline

机构信息

Department of Safety and Quality of Meat, Max Rubner-Institute, Federal Research Institute of Nutrition and Food, Kulmbach, Bavaria, Germany.

Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Robert Koch-Institute, Berlin, Germany.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2025 Sep 4;20(9):e0331298. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0331298. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

According to surveillance data, Campylobacter enteritis (CE) has been the most frequently notified bacterial gastrointestinal disease in Germany and Europe for many years. Presumably, the total number of cases is underestimated because an unknown number of cases is not diagnosed and some diagnosed cases are not reported in the surveillance system. The aim of this study was to estimate the disease and economic burden of CE and its related sequelae in Germany.

METHODS

The disability-adjusted life years (DALY) as well as the direct and indirect costs associated with the five-year (2018-2022) mean number of CE cases and related sequelae were estimated in a Monte Carlo simulation. The age- and gender-specific characteristics were integrated where possible. The underestimated CE cases were quantified by reconstructing the surveillance pyramid using age group-specific health care seeking parameters.

RESULTS

The estimated incidence rate was 553 CE cases (95%-CI: 551-555 cases) per 100,000 inhabitants per year. This corresponds to 7.7 underestimated cases per notified case. Underestimation was lowest in the age group <5 years and highest in the age group 15-29 years. The notified plus underestimated CE cases and associated sequelae resulted in a loss of 6,764 DALY (95%-CI: 6,689-6,839 DALY), 88% of which were due to sequelae. The total economic burden amounted to 263.5 million Euros (95%-CI: 262.5-264.4 million Euros). Approximately 25% of the total DALY and costs were attributable to the notified cases.

CONCLUSIONS

The results suggest a substantial burden due to CE, both in terms of DALY and costs, in Germany. Especially the high number of underestimated cases and associated sequelae contribute to the health and economic burden - although some remaining uncertainties cannot be ruled out. By using age-specific multipliers to determine the underestimated cases, age-related differences in DALY and cost of illness can be accounted for, thereby preventing an overestimation of the total burden.

摘要

背景

根据监测数据,多年来空肠弯曲菌肠炎(CE)一直是德国和欧洲报告最多的细菌性胃肠疾病。据推测,病例总数被低估了,因为有未知数量的病例未被诊断出来,而且监测系统中一些已诊断的病例未被报告。本研究的目的是估计德国CE及其相关后遗症的疾病负担和经济负担。

方法

在蒙特卡洛模拟中估计了伤残调整生命年(DALY)以及与五年(2018 - 2022年)CE病例及相关后遗症平均数量相关的直接和间接成本。尽可能纳入了年龄和性别特异性特征。通过使用特定年龄组的就医参数重建监测金字塔来量化被低估的CE病例。

结果

估计发病率为每年每10万居民中有553例CE病例(95%置信区间:551 - 555例)。这相当于每例报告病例有7.7例被低估病例。低估情况在<5岁年龄组中最低,在年龄组15 - 29岁中最高。报告的CE病例加上被低估的病例及其相关后遗症导致损失6764个DALY(95%置信区间:6689 - 6839个DALY),其中88%归因于后遗症。总经济负担达2.635亿欧元(95%置信区间:2.625 - 2.644亿欧元)。约25%的总DALY和成本归因于报告的病例。

结论

结果表明德国CE在DALY和成本方面造成了巨大负担。特别是大量被低估的病例及其相关后遗症加重了健康和经济负担——尽管一些不确定性仍然无法排除。通过使用特定年龄乘数来确定被低估的病例,可以考虑DALY和疾病成本的年龄相关差异,从而避免对总负担的高估。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/95bc/12410716/6dfaacb4fadd/pone.0331298.g001.jpg

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