Wang Zhao-Wei, Wan Mei-Ping, Tai Jia-Hui, Wang Yong, Yin Min-Yi
Department of Neurology, Qianjiang Central Hospital of Hubei Province, Hubei, China.
Department of Vascular Surgery, Shanghai Ninth People's Hospital, Shanghai JiaoTong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Sci Rep. 2025 Jan 29;15(1):3624. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-88017-0.
Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) represents one of the most devastating forms of stroke, characterized by spontaneous bleeding into the brain parenchyma. This neurological emergency carries a substantial burden of mortality and long-term disability worldwide. A comprehensive understanding of ICH's evolving global impact from 1990 to 2021 remains essential for healthcare planning and resource allocation. We conducted a systematic analysis of ICH burden utilizing data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2021. Key epidemiological indicators were extracted, including prevalence, incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs). Temporal trends were quantified through estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) in age-standardized rates of prevalence (ASPR), incidence (ASIR), mortality (ASDR), and DALYs across the study period. The association between disease burden and socioeconomic development was examined using the sociodemographic index (SDI) as a metric of societal development. This analytical framework enabled assessment of ICH burden across global, regional, and national scales while accounting for demographic and socioeconomic variations. From 1990 to 2021, while absolute ICH cases increased globally, age-standardized incidence rates declined. Our novel geographic analysis revealed East Asia bearing the highest burden, with Eastern Europe showing the highest age-standardized rates. Gender analysis identified distinct age-specific patterns, with males above 35 showing higher risk, particularly in Eastern Europe, while South Asia demonstrated minimal gender differences. Our innovative analysis during COVID-19 revealed healthcare system strength significantly impacted ICH outcomes, with well-resourced countries maintaining better outcomes. Regional risk factor assessment showed varying impacts of high systolic blood pressure across regions, highest in Southern Sub-Saharan Africa and lowest in Oceania. Future projections through 2030 indicate improving survival rates in most regions, except in low-income areas, highlighting persistent healthcare disparities. While the absolute number of ICH cases, deaths, and DALYs increased globally from 1990 to 2021, age-standardized rates showed a decreasing trend. This suggests improvements in prevention and management strategies over time. However, the burden of ICH remains substantial and unevenly distributed across regions, with lower SDI areas facing a disproportionately higher burden. These findings highlight the need for targeted interventions and resource allocation, particularly in regions with higher ICH burden, to further reduce the global impact of this devastating condition.
脑出血(ICH)是最具破坏性的中风形式之一,其特征是脑实质内自发性出血。这种神经系统急症在全球范围内带来了巨大的死亡负担和长期残疾问题。全面了解1990年至2021年期间ICH在全球范围内不断演变的影响,对于医疗规划和资源分配仍然至关重要。我们利用《2021年全球疾病负担(GBD)研究》的数据对ICH负担进行了系统分析。提取了关键的流行病学指标,包括患病率、发病率、死亡率和伤残调整生命年(DALYs)。通过研究期间年龄标准化患病率(ASPR)、发病率(ASIR)、死亡率(ASDR)和DALYs率的估计年度百分比变化(EAPCs)对时间趋势进行了量化。使用社会人口指数(SDI)作为社会发展的指标,研究了疾病负担与社会经济发展之间的关联。这个分析框架能够在考虑人口和社会经济差异的同时,评估全球、区域和国家层面的ICH负担。从1990年到2021年,虽然全球ICH病例的绝对数量有所增加,但年龄标准化发病率却有所下降。我们新颖的地理分析表明,东亚地区负担最重,东欧地区年龄标准化率最高。性别分析确定了不同的年龄特异性模式,35岁以上男性风险更高,尤其是在东欧地区,而南亚地区性别差异最小。我们在新冠疫情期间的创新性分析表明,医疗系统的实力对ICH的治疗结果有显著影响,资源充足的国家治疗效果更好。区域风险因素评估显示,收缩压升高在不同地区的影响各不相同,在撒哈拉以南非洲南部最高,在大洋洲最低。到2030年的未来预测表明,除低收入地区外,大多数地区的生存率将有所提高,这突出了持续存在的医疗差距。虽然从1990年到2021年全球ICH病例、死亡和DALYs的绝对数量有所增加,但年龄标准化率呈下降趋势。这表明随着时间的推移,预防和管理策略有所改进。然而,ICH的负担仍然很大,且在各地区分布不均,社会人口指数较低的地区负担尤其过重。这些发现凸显了有针对性的干预措施和资源分配的必要性,特别是在ICH负担较高的地区,以进一步降低这种破坏性疾病对全球的影响。