Lei Kaixin, Zhao Zibing, Chen Ao, An Xinqi, Li Yupei, Su Baihai
Department of Nephrology, Kidney Research Institute, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
Department of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Science, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore.
Ren Fail. 2025 Dec;47(1):2551731. doi: 10.1080/0886022X.2025.2551731. Epub 2025 Aug 31.
Acute glomerulonephritis (GN) is an acute episode of glomerular injury that affects both children and older adults. However, up-to-date data on its incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) remain limited. This study aims to provide the latest global trends and underlying health inequalities associated with acute GN.
Incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs per 100,000 population were reported at global, regional, and national levels, along with the Estimated Annual Percentage Change (EAPC). Global trends were analyzed by age, sex, and sociodemographic index (SDI), with forward projections estimated for the year 2040.
Globally, there were 528,368 (95% Uncertainty Interval [UI], 446,739 to 613,211) incident cases, 35,452 (95% UI, 30,151 to 41,655) prevalent cases, 10,761 (95% UI, 7,668 to 13,463) deaths, and 312,303 (95% UI, 208,981 to 393,514) DALYs attributed to acute GN in 2021. Children aged <14 years and older adults aged >85 years experienced the most severe burden. Frontier analysis revealed that middle SDI countries had the greatest potential to reduce the disease burden. Although the disease burden of acute GN has declined over the past three decades, our projections indicate that its incidence and prevalence will increase by 2040 due to population growth and aging.
The global disease burden of acute GN has decreased; however, population growth and aging may be associated with rising incidence and prevalence by 2040. Middle SDI regions bear a disproportionate burden of acute GN, particularly among children and older adults.
急性肾小球肾炎(GN)是一种影响儿童和老年人的肾小球损伤急性发作。然而,关于其发病率、患病率、死亡率和伤残调整生命年(DALYs)的最新数据仍然有限。本研究旨在提供与急性GN相关的最新全球趋势和潜在的健康不平等情况。
报告了全球、区域和国家层面每10万人口的发病率、患病率、死亡率和DALYs,以及估计的年度百分比变化(EAPC)。按年龄、性别和社会人口指数(SDI)分析全球趋势,并对2040年进行前瞻性预测。
2021年,全球范围内,归因于急性GN的发病病例有528,368例(95%不确定区间[UI],446,739至613,211例),患病病例有35,452例(95% UI,30,151至41,655例),死亡病例有10,761例(95% UI,7,668至13,463例),DALYs有312,303例(95% UI,208,981至393,514例)。14岁以下儿童和85岁以上老年人的负担最为严重。前沿分析表明,中等SDI国家减轻疾病负担的潜力最大。尽管在过去三十年中急性GN的疾病负担有所下降,但我们的预测表明,由于人口增长和老龄化,到2040年其发病率和患病率将会上升。
急性GN的全球疾病负担有所下降;然而,到2040年,人口增长和老龄化可能与发病率和患病率上升有关。中等SDI地区承受着不成比例的急性GN负担,尤其是在儿童和老年人中。