Chakraborty Abhi, Shuvo Md Fahimur Rahman, Haque Faiza Farheen, Ariful Kabir K M
Department of Mathematics, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Dhaka, 1000, Bangladesh.
College of Pharmacy, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA.
Sci Rep. 2025 Feb 1;15(1):3994. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-84746-w.
This research introduces an expanded SEIR (Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered) model that incorporates the components of testing, treatment, and vaccination. The study utilizes an evolutionary game theory (EGT) framework to investigate the impact of human behavior on the acceptance and implementation of these interventions. The choice to undergo testing and vaccination is considered a strategic decision influenced by perceived risks and benefits. Regarding disease dynamics, adherence to vaccination and testing protocols is seen as a behavioral factor. The present study employs a finite difference method to numerically examine the impact of proactive vaccination and retroactive treatment policies on human behavior. The investigation focuses on these policies' individual and combined effects, considering various factors, including vaccination and testing costs, vaccine efficacy, awareness level, and infection rates. The findings indicate that the integration of heightened awareness and enhanced vaccination efficacy can successfully alleviate the transmission of diseases, even in situations where the expenses associated with testing and vaccination are substantial. Reducing infections in situations characterized by low or moderate awareness or vaccination effectiveness is contingent upon low testing costs. The final epidemic size (FES) negatively correlates with testing and vaccine costs, indicating that lower costs are linked to a lower FES. Optimal vaccine coverage (VC) occurs when vaccine costs are minimal and vaccine efficiency is efficient, whereas treatment coverage (TC) reaches its peak when testing costs are minimal. This research underscores the significance of considering human behavior and the intricate relationship between vaccination, testing, and treatment approaches in managing the transmission of contagious illnesses. It offers valuable perspectives for policymakers to mitigate the consequences of epidemics.
本研究引入了一种扩展的SEIR(易感-暴露-感染-康复)模型,该模型纳入了检测、治疗和疫苗接种等要素。该研究利用进化博弈论(EGT)框架来调查人类行为对这些干预措施的接受和实施的影响。进行检测和接种疫苗的选择被视为受感知风险和益处影响的战略决策。关于疾病动态,遵守疫苗接种和检测方案被视为一个行为因素。本研究采用有限差分法从数值上检验主动疫苗接种和追溯治疗政策对人类行为的影响。该调查关注这些政策的个体和综合影响,考虑各种因素,包括疫苗接种和检测成本、疫苗效力、认知水平和感染率。研究结果表明,提高认知度和增强疫苗效力的结合能够成功减轻疾病传播,即使在检测和疫苗接种相关费用很高的情况下也是如此。在认知度低或中等或疫苗效力低的情况下减少感染取决于低检测成本。最终流行规模(FES)与检测和疫苗成本呈负相关,表明成本越低,FES越低。当疫苗成本最低且疫苗效力高效时会出现最佳疫苗接种覆盖率(VC),而当检测成本最低时治疗覆盖率(TC)达到峰值。本研究强调了在管理传染病传播中考虑人类行为以及疫苗接种、检测和治疗方法之间复杂关系的重要性。它为政策制定者减轻疫情后果提供了有价值的观点。